Monday, January 23, 2006

Why Proportional Representation is not the way to go

There has been much discussion over the past few years over changing our electoral system in Canada. It happened in BC with the Citizens' Assembly, and most recently was brought up again during a federal election leaders debate when NDP leader Jack Layton actually stated that "Canadians want a system of Proportional Representation." Well, sorry Mr.Layton, but this Canadian doesn't.

Proportional Representation (PR) is a greatly misunderstood electoral system. The common misconception is that it is a superior system to our current first-past-the-post model because it more accurately distributes seats to the percentage of the popular vote. And at the basic level that is correct, however, the devil, as they say, is in the details, and that is where PR runs into trouble.

For this argument, imagine a Parliament with 100 seats. For starters, it is not as simple as giving a party with 30% of the vote 30 of the seats. First of all, has anyone ever seen a party get a full % of support? How do you distribute a seat to a party who got 30.4% of the vote and a party who got 29.6%? Do both parties get 30 seats even though one party got .8% more of the vote, which might translate into tens of thousands of votes. So do those votes count? How can you fairly distribute a number that is not whole? The short answer is that you can't, not without great difficulty and concession. I realize that this would only impact 1 or 2 seats for a party, but under a PR system, minority governments are the standard, and in a minority government, 1 or 2 seats may make a huge difference.

The second problem stems from the first, but creates a broader issue. Does a party who gets 0.9% of the vote deserve a seat? If so, what about a party with 0.4%? or 0.3%? Where do we draw the line? What is the minimum percentage of popular support that a party must gain in order to gain a seat? This is a difficult question to answer for two reasons. One, Canada is made up of 10 very unique provinces, and so if we do creat a minimum threshold, do we make it a national threshold, or a provincial one? Consider the ramifications for the Bloc Quebecois, they stand at 45-50% support in Quebec, however, across Canada their support is only 18%. Therefore under PR would the Bloc be entitled to 50% of Quebec's seats or 18% of Canada's seats? The second problem lies with lesser known parties, it is common fact that a PR system leads to more political parties, and so by creating a minimum threshold (for example 5%) then you are effectively saying that voters for a party that only received 3% do not count, however those for parties who get over 5% do count. Again, this is a very complicated rule that needs to be clarified, and huge concessions would have to be made to get this done.

There is also a concern over the individual who gets elected under a PR system, because under PR you do not vote for the person, you vote only for the party. So it is the party who indicates who will assume the seats they have been awarded after an election. So who are we voting for? We don't know. Are they accountable to us? No, they are accountable to the party itself. Which MP would be considered my MP for my riding? There would not be traditional ridings, there would only be a set number of seats for the House to be distributed. I do not like any of these answers, and I'm sure I am not alone in that opinion.

Finally, Jack Layton would have us believe that his party is in support of PR because he wants what Canadians want, but he is mistaken in that. The primary reason that Mr. Layton wants a PR system is because his party has never represented what a majority of Canadians want. The truth is that parties with no hope of ever forming a government are always in favour of a PR system because they will fare better under that system. The NDP is very happy tipping the balance in a minority government parliament. Under PR, minority governments are the norm, and so under PR, the NDP will always have the balance of power in their hands. So why is this bad some of you may ask? The answer is that PR benefits parties like the NDP who have strong identified support in certain sectors, and who are unable to attract the mainstream or "average" voter. The NDP has never, and probably will never form a government in Canada because they do not speak for the average Canadian, their views do not represent those of a majority of Canadians. Because of this they want to change the rules so that they can reward themselves for only speaking for a certain group. So why should we reward parties who do not even attempt to attract the majority of Canadians with having the balance of power in a Parliament?

Our current system may not be perfect, but what it does is encourage political parties to represent all of Canada, and not only special interest groups (NDP), or one province (Bloc), or just one single issue (Green, Marijuana party). The reason this election is really just a two-horse race is because only the Liberals and Conservatives aim to represent all of Canada, and they do so by the rules of our current electoral system. We should not reward parties who do not want to play by the rules, we should not look to change our electoral system to Proportional Represenation.

8 Comments:

At 1:57 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger Strong Conservative said...

Well said. And let's not forget about our British parliamentary heritage which provided the wonderful system we enjoy today.

Canada does not need a German-style proportional system. If anything, an elected senate would help balance the regional disparities that often exist and bring another check on the overly broad powers of the prime minister.

JDS, Strong Conservative

 
At 2:43 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger Danson said...

Great post Chanandler, well said!

 
At 3:22 PM, January 23, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I honestly have never thought about PR that way, I always knew about the lists of names that the parties would use to give us our MP's, but never thought about the voting percentages in that way.

Very interesting read, very intriguing. Nicely written.

 
At 3:36 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger andy grabia said...

"Proportional Representation (PR) is a greatly misunderstood electoral system."

There are many alternate ways of doing the PR system. They don't all follow your model, and many address your concerns. For example, there are formulas to address the missing percentages, and the Open Party List Ballot allows voters to pick their canididates, not the party. You might want to check out this site.

It should also be noted that the CPC has advocated exploring electoral reform, including PR and fixed election dates. See here. I believe Senator Hugh Segal, currently traveling with our soon to be new P.M. Stephen Harper, also advocates PR. The work of Henry Milner at IRPP probably goes a long way to explaining why.

 
At 3:47 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger Unknown said...

For the record, I never claimed that it wasn't possible, I merely wanted to point out that a PR system has many peculiarities that a lot of people who I know are unaware of. I wanted to point them out. Of course they can be solved as per the documentation that you have provided, however, those solutions are neither simple, nor are they easily accepted by everyone.

My primary reason for opposing PR is actually summed up nicely in that first paragraph of the link you kindly provided, and I quote:

"The basic principles underlying proportional representation elections are that all voters deserve representation and that all political groups in society deserve to be represented in our legislatures in proportion to their strength in the electorate."

I agree with that statement, however the problem is that I do not believe the answer to that dilemma is having every "political group" being represented with their own political party. Our current system builds coaltions, alliances, and teams WITHIN a party, it doesn't encourage malcontents to start their own party.

 
At 5:23 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger David MacLean said...

This is the biggest pile of bull clop I have ever heard. Other than that, I have nothing constructive to ad.

 
At 6:30 PM, January 23, 2006, Blogger Unknown said...

Always a pleasure hearing from the learned david maclean, especially when he has such brilliant insights. I particularly enjoy the emergence of the words "bull plop" on this blog. Definitely something to think about.

 
At 9:13 AM, January 24, 2006, Blogger David MacLean said...

I have a way you can divide the seats. I know I am going to blow you mind with this but get ready, here it comes.

Two words: Rounding.

And now, a part that gets .9 per cent of the vote does not deserve a seat. Most PR democracies have a minimum threshold of, say, 5 per cent.

And like another commentor mentioned, there a million different PR hybrids. All those systems seek to implement accountability. The biggest problem with democracy in Canada comes when you elect an MLA and he sits on the government side, you completelly lose your voice.

In your case, you elect the voice of Klein. You elect a voting machine, not a human being.

Minority parliaments should not be rare, they should be a rule. Tbe Legislature should function as a commitee. It's appalling that 40 per cent of the vote grants 100 per cent of the power.

Just a couple of thoughts off the top of my head.

 

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